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Weekly Recap - 15.04.2024
đ§ Quote(s) of the week:
âWhen you understand Bitcoin there is no way back. You will look at the system in a whole new way. Your friends and family will think youâre crazy. Choose wisely.â
â Bitcoin for Freedom
“3 rules that are a cheat code for life:
1. Create value for others
2. Spend less than you earn
3. Save in Bitcoin”
â BTC Sessions
đ§ĄBitcoin newsđ§Ą
9th of April:
âĄïžJapanese firm Metaplanet buys „1B ($6.5M) of Bitcoin, mirroring MicroStrategy’s strategy. The company’s shares jumped 90% following the announcement.
11th of April:
âĄïžSEC to file lawsuit against defi crypto platform Uniswap – Reuters
This is why Satoshi disappeared and made Bitcoin impervious to government attacks.
12th of April:
âĄïžIMF demands El Salvador change its Bitcoin law in return for a $1.4 billion loan. (please read the part on the IMF below -> segment Macro/geopolitics.) How I read this statement, the IMF is annoyed at the mere existence of Bitcoin. Basically, they are saying: Sell your ‘hard’ money and get indebted to us.
âĄïž”The more energy Bitcoin mining uses, the more emissions it can reduce
35 midsized venting landfills running Bitcoin mining is all it takes for Bitcoin mining to be the
world’s first emission-negative industry
Achieved organically, without subsidy, without purchasing offsets.” – Daniel Batten
Could it be possible for Bitcoin to save the environment with its Proof-of-Work design and be the main player in the ‘green’ energy revolution?
13th of April:
âĄïžParaguay Senate approves resolution to sell energy surplus to bitcoin miners, criticizes sale of energy to Brazil for 25% of what bitcoin mining generates, directs this energy to 20 new bitcoin mining companies instead. Remember Paraguay is a large hydroelectricity producer and Bitcoin could be the answer.
I am pretty sure that Bitcoin will be the primary engine of prosperity in the 21st century. Countries like El Salvador, and Paraguay but also several countries in Africa will lead the way.
14th of April:
âĄïžUFC lightweight Renato Moicano: “If you care about your country, read Ludwig Von Mises’ 6 lessons of the Austrian Economic School motherf*ckers”.
He also demanded his fight bonus in Bitcoin.
He is referring to, itâs a series of six lectures Mises gave in Argentina in 1958, later combined into a book: âEconomic Policy: Thoughts for Today and Tomorrowâ:
1. Capitalism
2. Socialism
3. Interventionism
4. Inflation
5. Foreign Investment
6. Policies and Ideas
Full read: https://cdn.mises.org/Economic%20Policy%20Thoughts%20for%20Today%20and%20Tomorrow_3.pdf
âĄïžThe number of addresses holding more than 1 Bitcoin peaked in January 2024 at 1,024,484 and has fallen by 13,000 since.
15th of April:
âĄïžNorway became the first country in Europe to introduce regulations for data centers aimed at controlling which projects are permitted.
Cites emissions, and energy consumption control. They state Bitcoin mining âis an example of a type of business we do not want in Norwayâ
They are not going to ban mining. They want to force data centers to report to the government what kind of processes they are doing. Still bad though! Why, because it is misguided, ineffective, and futile. If electric cars = zero-emission… electric miners too. Are they going to ban or regulate EV cars too?
Clown policy that will backfire badly for a country already going through a currency crisis and for a failing continent, Europe.
Read the following thread by Daniel Batten.
Norway Minister of Energy Terje Aasland just told the world he
âdoesn't understand energy,
âdoesn't understand Bitcoin, and
âdoesn't understand emissions
in one breath, that takes Norway on a journey backwards.â[Crypto mining] is linked with large greenhouse gasâŠ
— Daniel Batten (@DSBatten) April 15, 2024
Ergo: Politicians have no clue or are being paid to not understand things that benefit society/their people.
âĄïžGermany’s biggest Federal bank LBBW to launch Bitcoin custody services to institutional customers.
Bitcoin ETF news:
“Weekly Bitcoin ETF Flows:
IBIT +7,000 BTC
FBTC + 1,300 BTC
GBTC -11,000 BTC
Net Flows – 1,100 BTC
In a week of GBTC Sales, CPI freak outs and War fears, Bitcoin holds 67K and has slight outflows.”- Thomas Fahrer
On the 9th of April:
âĄïžThe value of BlackRockâs Bitcoin holdings jumps to $18.9 Billion.
âĄïžFidelity now holds 150K Bitcoin worth over $10 Billion.
On the 11th of April:
âĄïžAsia ETF’s
– Hong Kong approving Bitcoin ETFs
– South Korea will approve Bitcoin ETFs
– Chinese fund managers launching Bitcoin ETFs
US Bitcoin ETFs pushed the price from $38K to $73K.
South Korea’s pro-Bitcoin Democratic Party has won the national election to form a government. More than 6 million South Koreans â over 10% of the population own Bitcoin or crypto.
DP: “We’re going to allow the ETFs, domestic or overseas.”
âĄïžGBTC sees the smallest outflow since the launch of the Bitcoin ETFs with just $17.5 million leaving the fund on the 11th of April.
15th of April:
âĄïžHong Kong just approved the first batch of Bitcoin ETFs
âĄïž”Since launching on Jan 10, U.S. ETFs, even including all GBTC sales, have amassed 222,000 Bitcoin in just 65 trading daysâthat’s 3,415 BTC daily!
Now Hong Kong ETFs join the game, just as the weak hands have folded and miners have half as much to sell.” – Thomas Fahrer
đžTraditional Finance & Macro
đžTraditional Finance / Macro:
đđœ ‘BlackRock is eating the world: Hits record $10.5tn in assets under management in Q1 2024, +15% YoY, boosted by $57bn of total net inflows to its investment products.’
đđœHere’s a crazy stat that no one will believe.
The universal investment benchmark is the 60/40 portfolio of stocks and bonds.
What if you replaced the bonds entirely with gold….crazy right?
Turns out it makes no real difference.
Now wait till they do Bitcoin.
đđœThis time is different:
đMacro/Geopolitics:
On the 9th of April:
đđœ”The EU must find âenormous amountâ of money to face global challenges, says former ECB chief Mario Draghi.”
Money Printer go brrrr to infinityâŠbecause ‘Whatever it takes’ – Draghi
How?
Print
Confiscate
Tax(visible)
Tax (hidden)
Government âInnovationâ.
đđœConstant QE or default are the only ways out. And financial repression is the default, just in slow motion.
‘This assumes no recessions or geopolitical events for the next few decades.
Japanese-style financial repression is the only way out of this mess. Or what other viable options are there?’
đđœ”The federal budget deficit totaled $1.1 trillion in the first half of fiscal year 2024, CBO estimates”
‘And yet, just over a month ago, the same CBO released their report projecting a $1.5T deficit for the entire year. At this rate, the deficit will be $2.2T, a 47% overshoot and even higher than the projected deficit in 2031.’ – James Lavish
The US spending is out of control and it’s getting worse at an exponential rate. Within one month, they (CBO) posted a 47% overshoot on the largest budget in world history.
The whole US budget, but also here in Europe, implodes around 2030 – 2035 at the latest. A new system will rise…the only question you need to ask yourself will it be Bitcoin or CBCD’s?
On the 10th of April:
đđœMarch CPI inflation rate UP to 3.5%
– Above expectations of 3.4%.
– Cor inflation is 3.8%, also higher than expected rate of 3.7%.
3 straight years with inflation over 3%
They said “Inflation is transitory”
‘Inflation has not fallen in a single month since Biden’s term began (the closest was July 2022 when it was unchanged), which leaves overall prices up over 19% since Bodenomics was unleashed. And prices have never been higher.’- Zerohedge
This means that overall prices are up a whopping 19% in less than 4 years.
We have not had a year-over-year inflation print below 3% in 36 consecutive months.
Furthermore, inflation has been above the Fed’s 2% target for 37 straight months.
Inflation is now building on previous years of inflation; we effectively have compounding inflation. Everyone should be asking for a 20% raise.
đđœFor the less informed.
Price inflation at every fast food restaurant in the US has far exceeded CPI inflation since 2014.
Prices at McDonald’s have DOUBLED since 2014 while official inflation data shows just 31% inflation.
Prices at Popeyes, Taco Bell, and Chipotle have risen by 86%, 81%, and 75%, respectively.
Traditionally, fast food was considered to be a “cheap” food option.
The CPI is a lie itâs manipulated to be lower than real inflation.
đđœOn the same day, the US 10-year Treasuries had their worst day since May 2023, with yields surging after the one-two punch of a hot CPI and a bad auction. Peter Boockvar: “10-year auction was bad…Dealers were left with 24% of the auction, which is the most since Nov. 2022.”
đđœChina has been buying more gold than any other nation since 2020, with India in second place.
Can we call this DeDollarization?
More on China…
đđœ”Following Moody’s in December, Fitch Ratings revised the China debt outlook to negative from stable.
China’s pace of debt accumulation is very problematic. Public debt has more than doubled since the Great Financial Crisis and is heading to above 100% of GDP.
More importantly, total debt has ballooned from 133% in 2008 to 272%(!) in 2022. It will have risen again in 2023.
The current 10-year Chinese bond yield is at 2.29%, which is extremely low for a country that expects to grow by 5% annually. Coincidence? Of course not! China has the same debt sustainability issues as every other major economy, and rating agencies must act.” – Jeroen Blokland
On the 11th of April:
đđœIMF Prepares Financial Revolution â Say Goodbye To The Dollar
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/imf-prepares-financial-revolution-say-goodbye-dollar
The only thing I can say on this is:
– I am not surprised
– Please reject CBDCs with everything you have. The centralization of digital currencies will never work!
– The IMF is not elected!
Anyway, no need to panic whatsoever. The IMF probably goes before the dollar. The dollar is and will be the number one (fiat) currency of the world.
On the 12th of April:
đđœ”Another strange sign that someone knows something:
Gold is up ~20% over the last 5 months and has doubled the S&P 500’s return.
Meanwhile, bonds are down nearly 9% as interest rate cuts are priced out.
Historically speaking, gold and bonds have almost always traded together.
There is now a ~30% GAP between the performance of gold and bonds, one of the 5-month divergences largest on record.
Gold is completely ignoring the fact that higher interest rates are here to stay while bonds are getting crushed.” – TKL
Central banks /countries are selling their debt portfolios and buying gold. That would be my take. The financialization of everything era is over.
On the 15th of April:
đđœ’The US credit card delinquency rates are now at their highest on record, according to the Philadelphia Fed.
In Q4 2023, more credit card balances were 30+ and 60+ days past due compared to any other period in history.
The percentage of credit card balances at least 30 days past due is now ~3.5%.
Meanwhile, total credit card debt has skyrocketed in recent months and is now at a record $1.3 trillion.
The average credit card interest rate is also at a record 28%, according to Forbes.’ – TKL
đIf you have made it this far I would like to give you a little gift:
War making has become increasingly unlimited in the fiat age, as financing has moved away from war taxes and war bonds and towards quiet borrowing
This is a very well-documented essay and thread with data and statistic by Alex Gladstein :
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/culture/how-the-fed-hides-costs-of-war
Book tip: Read The Creature from Jekyll Island.
Extra gift!đ
Your wealth is meltingâthe first report by Joe Burnett is 37 pages exploring how humanity’s relationship with wealth has changed after the discovery of Bitcoin.
https://8198895.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/8198895/PDFs/Your%20wealth%20is%20melting-1.pdf
Anyway, that’s it for today.
Only invest in Bitcoin what you canât afford to have gradually stolen from you by the government.
Credit: I have used multiple sources!
My savings account: Bitcoin
The tool I recommend for setting up a Bitcoin savings plan: The Relai app is especially suited for beginners or people that want to invest in Bitcoin with an automated investment plan once a week or monthly. Hence a DCA, Dollar cost Average Strategy.
For new users, the app can be downloaded from all Play Stores. The iOS version is only available in Swiss, Austrian, German, and Italian App Stores. If you set up a Bitcoin Savings Plan (weekly/monthly) you can use my code CRYPTOFRIDAY and your fees will be reduced by 0.5%!
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Check out my tutorial post (Instagram) & video (Youtube) for more info. â
Get your Bitcoin out of exchanges. Save them on a hardware wallet, run your own node…be your own bank. Not your keys, not your coins. It’s that simple. â â â â â â â â
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Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide any investment advice. It is for educational and entertainment purposes only. As of the time of posting, the writer(s) may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency, as all investments contain risk. All opinions expressed in these articles are my own and are in no way a reflection of the views of the used sources.
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